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Old 26 January 2022, 07:54 AM   #1
EdwardC
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Asking price for a 15500st blue approaching 100k?

This is madness




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Old 26 January 2022, 08:24 AM   #2
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It's an excellent watch that has been horribly undervalued when compared to the Jumbo and 5711.

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Old 26 January 2022, 09:40 AM   #3
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This is madness




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Old 26 January 2022, 09:41 AM   #4
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This is Chrono24
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Old 26 January 2022, 09:50 AM   #5
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it sort of makes sense. AP produce a good amount less than patek and the 5711 has been over 100 for a while along with the jumbo. this is the next best thing
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Old 26 January 2022, 10:41 AM   #6
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it sort of makes sense. AP produce a good amount less than patek and the 5711 has been over 100 for a while along with the jumbo. this is the next best thing
AP does produce fewer pieces from Patek but let’s remember that Patek has a far more diversified line-up.
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Old 26 January 2022, 10:49 AM   #7
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AP does produce fewer pieces from Patek but let’s remember that Patek has a far more diversified line-up.
Defined how? AP lists 215 "models" on their website vs 155 from PP. I don't know if it's obvious that there are more of a specific 15500ST variant in circulation than 5711s.
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Old 26 January 2022, 02:20 PM   #8
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Defined how? AP lists 215 "models" on their website vs 155 from PP. I don't know if it's obvious that there are more of a specific 15500ST variant in circulation than 5711s.
I’m referring to model line-ups. Patek has the Calatrava, Complications, Grand Comps, Twenty-4, Aquanaut and Nautilus among others which comprise their annual production. AP has three main lines and the 15500st, while handsome, is the most run-of-the-mill Royal Oak available. AP may have more models, but many of those include rare and limited edition pieces like bejewelled tourbillons, frosted openworked watches, etc. As such, it’s difficult for me to imagine that the 15500ST doesn’t make up a pretty significant portion of annual production on its own.
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Old 26 January 2022, 10:56 AM   #9
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AP does produce fewer pieces from Patek but let’s remember that Patek has a far more diversified line-up.
Patek may have a more diverse line-up. I agree with that. However, the RO is really really top notch! And between a RO double balance wheel openworked or QP ceramic against a 5740G, I would pick the ROs every single day! No doubt!
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Old 26 January 2022, 09:58 AM   #10
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Maybe it is just me but I would take a 15202 EVERY AND ANY DAY over a 15500 especially now at similar aftermarket prices. No contest in my book.
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Old 26 January 2022, 10:08 AM   #11
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Maybe it is just me but I would take a 15202 EVERY AND ANY DAY over a 15500 especially now at similar aftermarket prices. No contest in my book.
If a 15202 has the second hand, that will be perfect. I prefer he 15450 for that reason
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Old 26 January 2022, 10:26 AM   #12
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I feel left out in the size ala carte menu! 37mm way too small. 39mm just a hair too small. 41 just a hair too big. Where's my piece unique at 40mm with a second hand?

Separately, I thought the Ed Sheeran interview was so interesting because he expressed so eloquently what watches have morphed into since 2018. Yes partly investments, but more so as signifiers of status. And when that's the need of the majority of new buyers, well, I think we're only talking about a handful of watches that will satisfy the need right? RM, Nautilus, maybe Aqua, Daytona, and Blue RO.

Also, I don't know about anyone else, but I actually have yet to see a blue RO or jumbo in the wild. Lots of Nautilus, lots of Daytona, but I actually kind of like that I haven't bumped into another blue RO. Literally the only one I've seen was on the wrist of senior management of AP.

Thank goodness at least our gripes in this corner of TRF are only about do we like Black Panther rather than having the gnaw off our own arm trying to get t-stamps.
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Old 26 January 2022, 01:07 PM   #13
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If a 15202 has the second hand, that will be perfect. I prefer he 15450 for that reason
How can you compare the 15450 to a 15202? That's like people comparing the 15202 to a 15500. It's completely different. 37mm is too small the same way 41mm is too big. That's why 39mm is perfect. Not to mention the thinness of the watch is IMO the real value of that watch. The only proper comparison to a 15202 is the 15300.
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Old 26 January 2022, 05:09 PM   #14
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How can you compare the 15450 to a 15202? That's like people comparing the 15202 to a 15500. It's completely different. 37mm is too small the same way 41mm is too big. That's why 39mm is perfect. Not to mention the thinness of the watch is IMO the real value of that watch. The only proper comparison to a 15202 is the 15300.
Truth.
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Old 26 January 2022, 09:44 PM   #15
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How can you compare the 15450 to a 15202? That's like people comparing the 15202 to a 15500. It's completely different. 37mm is too small the same way 41mm is too big. That's why 39mm is perfect. Not to mention the thinness of the watch is IMO the real value of that watch. The only proper comparison to a 15202 is the 15300.
Back in prehistoric times, I'm talking 2015, I went into the 57th st. AP boutique in NYC to get a blue dial 15400. They didn't have one in stock but told me I could order one and they would have it in 2 months. OR I could buy a 15202st, which they had in stock, but it was $22,500, vs $17,500 for the 15400st. The SA also told me how rare the 15202 was and that they never get them. So I bought the 15202.
Two months later I dropped in to say hello to my SA and there was another 15202st in the display case for sale. The SA explained that, because it had no seconds hand, it was more of an acquired taste. Did they have a blue dial 15400st in stock? Nope.
The blue dial Royal Oak 15400 or 15500 was always more popular than the 15202
until it, somehow, became popular with geeks.
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Old 26 January 2022, 11:35 PM   #16
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Back in prehistoric times, I'm talking 2015, I went into the 57th st. AP boutique in NYC to get a blue dial 15400. They didn't have one in stock but told me I could order one and they would have it in 2 months. OR I could buy a 15202st, which they had in stock, but it was $22,500, vs $17,500 for the 15400st. The SA also told me how rare the 15202 was and that they never get them. So I bought the 15202.
Two months later I dropped in to say hello to my SA and there was another 15202st in the display case for sale. The SA explained that, because it had no seconds hand, it was more of an acquired taste. Did they have a blue dial 15400st in stock? Nope.
The blue dial Royal Oak 15400 or 15500 was always more popular than the 15202
until it, somehow, became popular with geeks.
The market speaks. !5202 still higher even if the 15500 is catching up. I think we'll see a jump in price of the 15202.

I've had both. I prefer the 15202 even without the second hand and pain in the ass date window.
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Old 27 January 2022, 11:46 PM   #17
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The only proper comparison to a 15202 is the 15300.
Really?
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Old 28 January 2022, 12:14 AM   #18
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How can you compare the 15450 to a 15202? That's like people comparing the 15202 to a 15500. It's completely different. 37mm is too small the same way 41mm is too big. That's why 39mm is perfect. Not to mention the thinness of the watch is IMO the real value of that watch. The only proper comparison to a 15202 is the 15300.
15300 vs 15202? Comparing a standard production watch whose dial wasn’t even made in-house with a workhorse movement, to an icon with the 2121 and all the design cues of the original?

As any AP aficionado will tell you, the listed diameter means next to nothing – it’s all about proportions. The 26320, 15400, 15500 and 26239 wear very differently even though they’re all 41mm. Just because the 15300 is 39mm isn’t a good enough reason to compare it to a 15202. The only AP the 15202 can be compared to is the 5402, and now the 16202.
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Old 29 January 2022, 12:47 AM   #19
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15300 vs 15202? Comparing a standard production watch whose dial wasn’t even made in-house with a workhorse movement, to an icon with the 2121 and all the design cues of the original?

As any AP aficionado will tell you, the listed diameter means next to nothing – it’s all about proportions. The 26320, 15400, 15500 and 26239 wear very differently even though they’re all 41mm. Just because the 15300 is 39mm isn’t a good enough reason to compare it to a 15202. The only AP the 15202 can be compared to is the 5402, and now the 16202.
The 5402 dial was made in the same factory (stern creations) as early 15300.

The clasp of the 5402 was made by gay freres. I know I had a 5402 and you can google this.

The movement was made by JLC and shared between the Vacheron 222, 3700 nautilus and the 5402 RO. The JLC movement was a workhorse movement.

Nothing about the 5402 is "in house".

The 15300 is closer in spirit to the 5402, and than the 15202. The 15300 is an organic direct descendent of the 5402.

The 15202 is a zombie in a pretty dress resurrected by marketing departments.

Watch enthusiasts cringe at faux lume but nobody is cringing at dressed up faux vintage movements

https://www.hodinkee.com/articles/in...guet-royal-oak

https://www.hodinkee.com/articles/ju...wesome-super-t

I'm glad that the 16202 is out and that there is a modern movement in it.
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Old 28 January 2022, 04:38 AM   #20
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If a 15202 has the second hand, that will be perfect. I prefer he 15450 for that reason
That and a quick set date.
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Old 26 January 2022, 10:55 AM   #21
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I mean, why not ask for the moon these days?

It's all the same, anyway. None of it makes sense anymore.
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Old 26 January 2022, 11:04 AM   #22
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You're all still talking about the merits of the watch against the list prices on Chrono24 or grey market dealers.

It's no longer about the merits of the watch. It hasn't been for at least a year now.

The prices are based on speculation, hoarding, and promoting watches as an inflation-resistant investment.
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Old 26 January 2022, 12:13 PM   #23
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it certainly will after the 15500st discontinues soon.
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Old 28 January 2022, 01:08 PM   #24
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it certainly will after the 15500st discontinues soon.
it was just released in 2019? what makes you think 15500st will be discontinued? the releases of this year is only catching up to the updates of the 15500st (movement, dial, etc). i will say it this model won't change for at least a five years other than introduction of a new dial color (maybe, if that).
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Old 29 January 2022, 09:52 AM   #25
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it was just released in 2019? what makes you think 15500st will be discontinued? the releases of this year is only catching up to the updates of the 15500st (movement, dial, etc). i will say it this model won't change for at least a five years other than introduction of a new dial color (maybe, if that).


Miami boutique told me the 15500 is discontinued, will be 16500. Not sure what has changed, but many more releases still to come...
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Old 29 January 2022, 10:04 AM   #26
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Miami boutique told me the 15500 is discontinued, will be 16500. Not sure what has changed, but many more releases still to come...
heard the same from a trusted grey dealer. hence the jump...
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Old 29 January 2022, 11:35 AM   #27
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Miami boutique told me the 15500 is discontinued, will be 16500. Not sure what has changed, but many more releases still to come...
Interesting. There were multiple references to a more big news on April 15 in the articles on this week's releases. As the SS/YG/RO Jumbo, 38 and 41mm ROC and 15550 already had their day in the sun, it seems the long rumored/wished for ceramic brethren to the 77350CE and updates to the 15500 are natural candidates.
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Old 29 January 2022, 11:49 AM   #28
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Miami boutique told me the 15500 is discontinued, will be 16500. Not sure what has changed, but many more releases still to come...
No way. When will it be released?
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Old 30 January 2022, 04:16 AM   #29
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Miami boutique told me the 15500 is discontinued, will be 16500. Not sure what has changed, but many more releases still to come...
If true, and I have no info, just speculation, bet they drop the AP logo and harmonize the logo with the applied full name like on chrono.
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Old 26 January 2022, 01:00 PM   #30
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is anyone actually paying that much? i have my doubts
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