Is demand real?

[Devildog]

Originally Posted by Chester01

I’m confused. You say demand has gone up. I partially agree. Demand has shifted from two tone and gold and the DJ/DD models to the SS models and Rolex has kept the ratios the same. So demand for the SS models has gone up. Certain demographics demand has gone up, and in certain demographics gone down. Do you really think having the hundreds of thousands of gray market watches back in the hands of AD would not make it easier for most to access them?

It’s like widgets. Let’s say there are 100k made by company x and sent to 100 sellers. Now 10 other sellers buy up all the widgets and jack the price. Now instead of having 100 sellers, folks have less to go to and have to pay more. Increase demand? Not necessarily, pinched off supply. Like putting you thumb on the nozzle of the hose, same water just being pinched.


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Again though. So many assumptions.

Using your assumption.

There are 100k widgets. But 150k people want a widget.

10 grey market sellers see a new opportunity to cash in, pay over the odds for a bunch of widgets but do so on the basis that in this current must have society people will pay 2x the price to get a widget now.

Of course 100 other (let’s call them chrono 24 sellers) adverse widgets at massively inflated prices they don’t have yet. Bit when they get a bite they hope they can still pay over the odds and make a profit on the sale.

I think you are over thinking this.

It’s probably nothing more than simple economics. Demand outstrips supply so market price goes up.

ADs are tied to MRSP (mostly) so greys take advantage.

If ADs could sell at market price the greys would have no market for sales at a premium and would be back to selling discounted watches like before.


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