Sky-Dweller: when to pull trigger?

[Gearjockey]

On my radar is a SS blue sky-dweller either jubilee or oyster.

Like most Rolex, pre-owned sky-dweller is making a slow let-down toward retail+plus tax.
I’m not sure if it will ever reach that point but I have decided I will only buy that reference at approximately $2k over retail+plus tax pre-owned or retail, whichever comes first.

I have asked my AD for this reference, and they say with current economic conditions, I may be offered this sooner than I thought, but of course I can’t depend on that. I have been waiting for this model for four months and I’m willing to wait for a long time. I am not in a hurry.

For reference, the model I am looking at is retail $17k with tax. I have seen a few white dial SD’s approaching this price but blue is still $23-25k.

I think we all know, across the board, these and most models are not going back up. They are falling and will be for quite some time. I believe 2024 (economically)will be far worse than this year.

So I ask you all, when is the right time? To me, it looks like middle of next year.
And I believe this applies to most references with the exception of Daytona, and I don’t know much about those anyway.

For those who care to opine,
Fire away!