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29 May 2014, 01:43 PM | #1 |
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Future value of a 16710 Pepsi.....
I know we don't have a crystal ball but any opinions on future value of the Pepsi 16710? Seems they have been going up lately. Thanks!
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29 May 2014, 01:50 PM | #2 |
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Sure have. I have been following the trend as well. Have looked at more than the 16710s however.
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29 May 2014, 02:05 PM | #3 |
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It is by no means a rare or even scarce watch....hundreds and hundreds of thoussands of this reference have been produced...
The high ASK prices are wishful thinking. Dealer BUY pricing is very stable on this model at the moment. It has not gone up with the inflated ASK pricing out there... With any collectible like coins, watches, etc...it's always about the BUY price and what that's doing... |
29 May 2014, 04:00 PM | #4 | |
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29 May 2014, 04:09 PM | #5 |
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imho, genuine factory pepsi's will spike with the new release but they'll drop as used pep-c models come up in the coming years and folks give their heads a shake.
its just an insert swap anyway on any pre-c gmt, and there's your pepsi. |
29 May 2014, 04:15 PM | #6 |
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You know, I hadn't even thought about this. If switching out the ceramic bezel can be done fairly easily at a local watchmaker, I imagine loose BLRO bezels could become quite in demand.
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29 May 2014, 04:21 PM | #7 |
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i don;t think the C bezels will work but the aluminum ones are really easy to swap. that's why i think the gmt pre-c's will drop back to earth in a year or two. of course its a guess but we've seen it with other rolex models.
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29 May 2014, 04:30 PM | #8 |
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Depends on the state of the watch IMHO...
We've seen late model Z & M series watches with the 3186 asking prices through the roof and even more-so with all stickers in place. Whether they got that asking price is between the buyer and seller but I've seen some marked sold relatively fast without posted price adjustments. I feel that the price has increased but to the degree of say a Tudor Sub over the years has yet to be seen. I think part of the Tudor spike in price was due to the demand for vintage pieces, the coolness factor of the snowflake models and color combinations in all models, but mainly because there's always been a big void between the price of the early Tudor Subs (before they became very sought after) and an entry level Rolex Submariner. That being said, I don't think 16710s will reach new SD4000 price levels because there's far too many modern Rolex alternatives in this price point and far too many good condition 16710s. I do, however, feel an all stickered 16710 with 3185 or 3186 could fetch a premium like that in less than ten years with someone with cash to burn. Until Rolex produces a GMTIIC Coke (unlikely with the BLNR) rest assured 16710s in good to great condition will be a stable bet and snatched up in a NY minute, especially any good to great condition T<25 dial with lug holes. |
29 May 2014, 04:44 PM | #9 | |
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I think the BLRO is on such an inflated and whole new level (rightfully so given the WG) that we'd have to see a huge shift in all models starting from Pepsi 1675s onward and I just don't see it given the saturation on the market with so many subtle model variations throughout the years and in so many levels of condition. But any GMT with an interchangeable bezel option is a solid bet right now IMHO... I wouldn't count on one as a sure investment but resale value may be a sure bet. |
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29 May 2014, 04:56 PM | #10 |
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Well in the real world the only factory Pepsi GMTs were the vintage ones and not any of the 16710 range.When the 16710 range was launched 1988/9 insert range was a option, and inserts were readily available to DIY change yourself.Now certain countries like the USA which is a separate company from Rolex Switzerland rest of the world.Now they did start putting a letter for the colour insert designated to that particular watch but still a easy DIY change as insert could be sourced.And there must be millions of 16710s in this world today all types of inserts IMHO would not class any 16710 as really collectible to a serious Rolex collector .Perhaps some of the last production with the slightly modded movement to the internet hype type Rolex collector.
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29 May 2014, 05:42 PM | #11 |
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I saw an average-looking Pepsi with B&P going on here for 7K the other day.
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29 May 2014, 07:13 PM | #12 |
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I could see it hitting 8-9K easily in the next decade...
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29 May 2014, 09:51 PM | #13 |
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The price of 16710's have been in a steady climb since the release of the ceramics. How much that will accelerate or slow down is anyone's guess.
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29 May 2014, 10:04 PM | #14 |
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As inflation drags prices and wages higher, things will rise in value.
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29 May 2014, 10:22 PM | #15 |
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For me my pepsis are priceless. I have noticed that they have been steadily increasing since I started buying them two years ago.
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29 May 2014, 10:38 PM | #16 |
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Simple Google searches will pull up old listings for GMT-Master IIs for a thousand or two thousand less than what you can find nowadays. Seeing a seller from less than a year ago bump a sale for a 16710 priced at $4100 a few times is crazy to me.
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29 May 2014, 10:41 PM | #17 |
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As the new white gold ceramic one becomes popular and the celebs start sporting them. The demand will be back in force for the more affordable 16710. Especially the modern non-lughole type - which is basically the same watch without the gold, ceramic and solid clasp. I'm biased though, I love mine.
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29 May 2014, 10:44 PM | #18 | |
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29 May 2014, 10:49 PM | #19 |
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Just sold few months ago BNIB Z serial 3185 full plastics for 9500.00. 3186 models BNIB with plastics getting scarce and collectors willing to pay for them.
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29 May 2014, 10:52 PM | #20 |
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If you are going to pay $7-$8K for a pepsi, Barnum was right
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29 May 2014, 11:16 PM | #21 |
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It's just like everything else in the world. In the future, it will cost more.
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29 May 2014, 11:20 PM | #22 |
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Prices on 16710's have been rising. IMO future prices will keep rising.
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29 May 2014, 11:27 PM | #23 |
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Remember Rolex is an investment LMAO.
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29 May 2014, 11:33 PM | #24 |
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What the collectors are willing to pay will dictate the price. Everyone was hoping the new pepsi would be SS w/ the ceramic bezel but Rolex threw a curve and made it in WG. Now everyone who wanted a pepsi will be forced to pay higher prices for preowned models.
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29 May 2014, 11:35 PM | #25 |
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Spoke with a friend who is a smaller AD in an affluent suburb outside of New York City. Two of his customers have already placed orders for the new Pepsi BLRO. My guess is the new model will be quite popular, and its status will raise the visibility of all Pepsi and Coke models. The values of older GMT models aren't going to the moon, but they will gradually increase.
BTW, if you want a bargain watch with a BLRO Pepsi "look" for a fraction of the price: get a 16700 in great condition. Are these starting to appreciate? |
29 May 2014, 11:36 PM | #26 |
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I wish I'd gotten on this bandwagon earlier, but sometimes you just have to admit that you've missed the boat and move on to other choices.
I have to agree with Dan. The rising asking prices for the 16710 are a reaction to the announcement of the 116710BLRO and a presumed rush to buy the earlier model. After the initial rush of panic buying, everything else remains to be seen.
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30 May 2014, 06:06 AM | #27 | |
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30 May 2014, 06:39 AM | #28 | |
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30 May 2014, 06:46 AM | #29 | |
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Thanks for the clarification.
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30 May 2014, 08:06 AM | #30 |
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They have been going up
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