ROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEX
16 March 2021, 02:34 AM | #1 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Dec 2008
Real Name: Shaun
Location: Devonshire
Watch: SubND/D/LV
Posts: 651
|
All Subs ever produced vs All people who want one..
Never seen this question or answer..
What d’you think people? And here’s my current one.. |
16 March 2021, 02:36 AM | #2 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: Switzerland
Posts: 316
|
Like who would win in a fight? I’m guessing the humans because they can move.
|
16 March 2021, 02:38 AM | #3 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jun 2019
Location: New England
Watch: All of them
Posts: 549
|
Yes, I am confused OP.
|
16 March 2021, 02:40 AM | #4 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Aug 2019
Real Name: Jay
Location: England
Watch: SkyD
Posts: 6,398
|
I don’t see a question, or an answer either ...
|
16 March 2021, 02:41 AM | #5 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Feb 2021
Location: NY
Posts: 752
|
All the people who want one vs all who would/could actually by one.
"Wanters" would win by sheer numbers |
16 March 2021, 02:43 AM | #6 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Nov 2019
Location: Arrakis
Posts: 874
|
|
16 March 2021, 02:45 AM | #7 |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: May 2013
Location: Vain
Posts: 6,023
|
Huh?
|
16 March 2021, 02:58 AM | #8 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: USA
Posts: 1,207
|
Probably haven’t seen the question or answer since nobody knows what you’re asking/saying...
__________________
Rolex 116334 / 116610LV / 126710BLRO / 126500 Tudor BB58 Omega Speedmaster Moonwatch White H. Moser & Cie Streamliner Centre Seconds Girard Perregaux Laureato Skeleton |
16 March 2021, 03:08 AM | #9 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: 1 of 13 Colonies
Posts: 8,575
|
|
16 March 2021, 03:13 AM | #10 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Dec 2016
Real Name: Luis
Location: Texas
Watch: SS Submariner Date
Posts: 1,395
|
????????……...whattttttt?
|
16 March 2021, 03:14 AM | #11 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: May 2020
Real Name: Khan
Location: Dubai
Watch: 126334
Posts: 211
|
Well if I understood your question correctly then the people obviously won. Hence the price hike and shortage
|
16 March 2021, 05:49 AM | #12 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Dallas
Watch: 12800ft = 3900m
Posts: 11,173
|
All the people who like pizza vs all the pizza shops in the world....
I like NY style pizza. |
16 March 2021, 06:14 AM | #13 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: May 2015
Real Name: Tom
Location: SoCal South O.C.
Posts: 162
|
I have always wondered this as well. The only thing i could think of is that a large percentage of people who purchased Subs from lets say 1980-2010 havent sold their watches limiting the quantity on the open market.
|
16 March 2021, 06:49 AM | #14 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Feb 2013
Real Name: Flavio
Location: N/A
Posts: 14,654
|
Great Sub, Shaun.
|
16 March 2021, 07:04 AM | #15 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: May 2019
Location: Australia
Posts: 221
|
Impossible to answer. Even Economics cannot answer. Consider: Price Elasticity of Demand = % Change in Quantity Demanded / % Change in Price.
Rolex (and certain other luxury goods) defies this model because prices keep rising which only serves to increase demand and perceived exclusivity. |
16 March 2021, 10:36 AM | #16 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jul 2018
Real Name: Jonathan
Location: East
Watch: ...
Posts: 1,171
|
Do you mean that if ALL the people who want a sub (and this must include current owners) put out their hands and into each would receive a sub. Would ALL the subs produced to date satisfy the demand?
Wonky maths but let’s say Rolex produced 50k subs a year since 1953. 50,000 x 68 = 3.4million So, do 3.4 million people in the world really want a sub.
__________________
Yacht-Master 126622, GMT-Master II 16710, Submariner 114060, Sea-Dweller 16600, Panerai Luminor PAM111 Lange Saxonia Moon Phase 384.029, Tudor Black Bay Harrods M79230G. |
16 March 2021, 10:40 AM | #17 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Uranus
Watch: 116500LN
Posts: 4,789
|
Congrats
|
16 March 2021, 12:49 PM | #18 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jun 2020
Real Name: Mike
Location: New York-Miami
Watch: SUB40-DJ36-YM40
Posts: 1,068
|
Any submariner is keeper for real men and if they produce 1-2million piece, in world 3 billion men’s ....love if you have.
|
16 March 2021, 03:07 PM | #19 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Watchrecon
Posts: 1,352
|
|
16 March 2021, 03:13 PM | #20 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jan 2020
Real Name: KP Jimmy
Location: Singapore
Watch: R/AP/FPJ/Hermès/et
Posts: 6,597
|
__________________
|
16 March 2021, 03:25 PM | #21 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jun 2017
Real Name: Tony
Location: Global
Watch: All of them.
Posts: 1,141
|
As someone said earlier, this is wonky math. But considering that in 2019
- China produce 644.3 million watches (obviously most of them super cheap quartz watches) - Hong Kong produced 197.8 million watches (the website apparently still differentiates the two geographies, but this is not the place for politics) - Switzerland produces 20.6 million watches - Germany makes 16.9 million watches - United States makes 11.3 million watches Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/...mber-of-units/ Assuming that is true, then yearly watch demand is really high. Now, most of that is for very cheap, throwaway quartz models and cheap digital (not Apple or Samsung) wrist computers (Applewatches and their ilk evolved a long time ago to where they are not watches). So, let’s use Swiss production numbers. And even then, let’s assume the 20.6 million made many of those are less expensive watches. Let’s assume only a quarter of that number counts (meaning 5.15 million watches). Not, let’s assume that for the past 68 years Rolex had been making 50,000 Submariners (a very high estimation considering they were not making ‘a million watches a year’ for several decades and have thus not been consistently making 50,000 Submariners a year ...all of this is just speculation that is most likely hilariously wrong to someone who actually works at Rolex) That is 3.4 million Submariners out there. That is less than the 5.15 million estimate above. Even if you assumed Rolex started making 100,000 Submariners, from year one in 1953, that would be 6.8 million watches in existence. And that is why there is big demand. Sure, there is hype involved, but there is also a very real overhang of demand to available supply. Which is why Rolex as a brand is in great demand even though it is the largest Swiss manufacturer of watches, with ~25% market share, and even then it is difficult to find an OP in a case. |
16 March 2021, 04:09 PM | #22 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jun 2013
Real Name: Dave
Location: NYC
Posts: 7,181
|
I like oatmeal.
|
16 March 2021, 04:09 PM | #23 |
2024 ROLEX SUBMARINER 41 Pledge Member
Join Date: Jan 2018
Location: Florida
Watch: Sub, DJ41, GMT
Posts: 8,267
|
I think I’m going to start avoiding any thread re: Submariner. Too bad because it’s my favorite watch...
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
16 March 2021, 04:36 PM | #24 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Dec 2008
Real Name: Shaun
Location: Devonshire
Watch: SubND/D/LV
Posts: 651
|
..Some interesting answers, thanks guys (those who understood the question)..
Yes, not very well executed and pretty impossible to answer correctly, but my query was what were the numbers between all the actual Submariners ever produced (all models) and what were the numbers of people in the world who want one.. I for one, discovered Rolex sport watches leafing through 1970s National Geographic magazines and around the same time, Sean Connery James Bond movies.. I have wanted a Rolex since I was 11..It took me another 29 years to get one.. A ref 1500.. A few more years later to get a Sub..And have had many different references.. 5513, 14060M, 16800, 168000, 16610, 16610LV, 16613, 116610, 116610LV.. My point is.. Nothing really.. Just a post on a forum from a massive fan of the Rolex Submariner.. |
16 March 2021, 06:07 PM | #25 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: 1 of 13 Colonies
Posts: 8,575
|
Quote:
Those are impossible questions to answer. Even guesstimates are futile |
|
16 March 2021, 06:12 PM | #26 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Apr 2019
Location: LHR-HKG
Watch: give me time...
Posts: 862
|
Quote:
*I read closely the website and it says EXPORTED not manfucatured.
__________________
First watch since age 7 (red digital) and addicted ever since! |
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests) | |
|
|
*Banners
Of The Month*
This space is provided to horological resources.