Buying 15300st in 2024 - My first AP. Any inputs?

[kornelius97]

Have the possibility to get my self a black dial newly serviced at AP AD with brand new bezel and bracelet + normal service. IT comes with box, manuals, receipt from the service and 1year guarantee. no papers.

33k USD.


Considering the current market. Should I wait, will these keep dropping like bricks or is this the new normal?

I am buying for personal use, and don´t think I ever will sell. So price kinda does not matter, but still nobody wants to "waste" money.

Thougths? Would appriciate any inputs.

[Benzsiam]

It seems like a good reasonable price for newly serviced at AP with brand new bezel and bracelet. If you love the watch and plan to keep it, I would go for it now.

[agsstructures]

Should be high $20’s for a black dial with no papers. Full set G serial blue dial (actual blue not dial swapped) was recently asking $33k serviced by AP. It sold quick but it’s blue.

[SN2354]

Is the old bracelet included? If yes, I say that is a good move! However knowing what I know after years of buying/selling Rolex watches, it will be very hard to move sans papers. If you feel it will be a keeper, then go for it as these watches are very under-appreciated and once people realize how great the 39mm size is (and not a jumbo) they may be harder to get at these prices.

[kornelius97]

Originally Posted by SN2354

Is the old bracelet included? If yes, I say that is a good move! However knowing what I know after years of buying/selling Rolex watches, it will be very hard to move sans papers. If you feel it will be a keeper, then go for it as these watches are very under-appreciated and once people realize how great the 39mm size is (and not a jumbo) they may be harder to get at these prices.

Yes, the old is included. It´s the one with the Logos on it :)
If I do paper extract for 500 eur/usd(?), will it be easier?

Yeah, all in all a keeper. But of course, you never know what life has to offer, so knowing that I can move it without losing 30%+ would be nice haha. But nobody can predict the markets of course.

[kornelius97]

Originally Posted by SN2354

Is the old bracelet included? If yes, I say that is a good move! However knowing what I know after years of buying/selling Rolex watches, it will be very hard to move sans papers. If you feel it will be a keeper, then go for it as these watches are very under-appreciated and once people realize how great the 39mm size is (and not a jumbo) they may be harder to get at these prices.

Yeah, old one is included. The one with AP logos on it.
The price also dropped to 32k now.

I do plan on keeping and not selling. But you hey, if the arrows are red and there will be better times I have no rush and would gladly wait to be in a better position. Not buying to make money, but rather minimize loss.

[Halothane]

Take your time, wait for the right one at the right price. But 15300st is one of the best!

[SN2354]

Originally Posted by kornelius97

Yeah, old one is included. The one with AP logos on it.
The price also dropped to 32k now.

I do plan on keeping and not selling. But you hey, if the arrows are red and there will be better times I have no rush and would gladly wait to be in a better position. Not buying to make money, but rather minimize loss.

I would push it down further if you could, and you can also make some money by selling the old bracelet for a nice chunk of change.

And the archive papers cost something like $540 usd. They just ask you to send photos of the watch, and send a PDF with the archive within a couple of weeks

[SN2354]

Originally Posted by Halothane

Take your time, wait for the right one at the right price. But 15300st is one of the best!

Issue is they are harder and harder to come by.

[kornelius97]

Originally Posted by SN2354

I would push it down further if you could, and you can also make some money by selling the old bracelet for a nice chunk of change.

And the archive papers cost something like $540 usd. They just ask you to send photos of the watch, and send a PDF with the archive within a couple of weeks

Actually it actually had papers haha. The original warranty card. I just thought there was more to it than this to call it "with papers".

So it seems like a full set. 31k now and have to decide tonight haha. I do feel they might be possible to grab a bit lower later this year.

[Caramba]

The 15300st is an awesome watch, but don’t rush into something. As someone who’s once sold a 15300st, they’re not that easy to shift especially if they are not blue dials.

Personally I think the prices will stabilise around the current levels, but who knows. Much seems to depend on the Chinese economy that’s been driving demand for high end watches.

The fact that the seller keeps giving you short deadlines while reducing the price is suggesting that he’s desperate if nothing else.


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[kornelius97]

Originally Posted by Caramba

The 15300st is an awesome watch, but don’t rush into something. As someone who’s once sold a 15300st, they’re not that easy to shift especially if they are not blue dials.

Personally I think the prices will stabilise around the current levels, but who knows. Much seems to depend on the Chinese economy that’s been driving demand for high end watches.

The fact that the seller keeps giving you short deadlines while reducing the price is suggesting that he’s desperate if nothing else.


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appreciate your inputs, thank you!
I think I will hold on to my 126334 for now and upgrade to 15300st at a later time all things considered, I think there will be a better timing either financially (in terms of market price) and/or personally.

It´s my grail, but I kind of jumped the decision now because I considered it a good deal. But personally I am yet to reach the goals I set for myself to "allow" myself this purchase.

again, thank you - and the others for taking the time to weigh in on this.

[SN2354]

Originally Posted by kornelius97

Actually it actually had papers haha. The original warranty card. I just thought there was more to it than this to call it "with papers".

So it seems like a full set. 31k now and have to decide tonight haha. I do feel they might be possible to grab a bit lower later this year.

I think the warranty "card" came after the 15300, the 15300 actually comes with a massive booklet that can't be missed

I see the seller keeps dropping price, that is good for your negotiation, but depends where his bottom is. Again, you are really gaining because you can sell the bracelet for a very decent chunk of change which lowers the price even more.

[SpeedyTuomas]

How did AP:s journey end? I'm have been looking at black dial 15300OR:s but am not that confident about the current asking price levels. Will perhaps take my time and wait.