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8 January 2022, 11:28 PM | #661 | |
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I did appreciate his honesty about the current environment. Seems to be a sentiment shared by other brands as well, Ed Meylan (the CEO of Moser) was also vocal against flippers in a recent interview. I do wonder how how much of Pierre’s comments were lip service though. I’ve been on the CB waitlist for 3.5 years now. I was one of the first to fill out the new application card process at the NYC boutique. I wrote a lengthy description to FP of what the watch would mean to me. Since then, I’ve went into that NYC boutique and struck up numerous conversations with the manager to show I am an “enthusiast” (William is a great guy btw). You know what? Still on the waitlist. A month ago I went, in person, to check on my status and the saleswoman there basically insinuated that I needed to purchase other pieces; having a CB as a first watch is almost impossible. This is not meant to come off as sour grapes, but FPJ seems to be like every other brand. They prioritize certain people. Younger, newer collectors kind of get overlooked because they don’t have history. You can put in face time. Go to events. Strike up “enthusiast” level conversations with managers. Doesn’t matter.
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9 January 2022, 12:01 AM | #662 |
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I thought it was a great chat and Pierre seemed very straightforward and down to earth. It seems going forward they aim to provide collectors with one mechanical piece per year which has ruffled some feathers combined with the massive price hikes on certain references (hello black label resonance).
I’m excited to see what FPJ has up his sleeve next. It seems like they have all the tools and funds at his disposal and as a creative he could go on a run the next decade.
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9 January 2022, 12:17 AM | #663 |
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I enjoyed the honesty, straight-shooter talk from Pierre , assuming it was all sincere. I like that he and FP recognize it’s a small company and that it should stay small so as not to stray from their values. The emphasis on people/collectors over assets/$ was refreshing , recognizing though at the end of the day we are talking about $50-$100k+ entry into the FPJ “community”. I enjoyed the dive into some of the details surrounding number of watches they make, number of watchmakers they have for each model etc. Will be interesting to see how the one watch per collector plays out, and what they do with prices (retail) over the next few years. I feel lucky to have acquired two special ones at what now seems like “cheap” prices, but do get anxious over what it will cost me to get the next one by the time i get it (if I get it… need to make a trip into NY).
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9 January 2022, 12:54 AM | #664 |
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Yes indeed, am glad FPJ wants to remain true to his vision, and insists on producing the best possible. With their current size of highly talented craftspeople, there is a natural limit to production at these levels. A great point brought up by Pierre is that resources to realize FPJ's artistic dreams are increasing. This bodes well to support his future horological masterpieces.
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9 January 2022, 02:14 AM | #665 | ||
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9 January 2022, 03:04 AM | #666 |
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Surely the point is that they closed it to new applicants - those who had applied before and been told they were on the list can rightly still expect to get a watch in my opinion.
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9 January 2022, 03:06 AM | #667 |
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9 January 2022, 03:22 AM | #668 |
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Exactly. So, to be told that I basically keep getting pushed back in the queue to make way for existing clients, who requested the watch years after me, makes FPJ no different than other brands. Make no mistake, I'm not lamenting over their business practice or saying it's wrong or even unethical. That said, don't sell me a bridge on wanting to connect with enthusiasts.
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9 January 2022, 04:19 AM | #669 | |
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I have seen firsthand how the US FP Journe team has had to adopt to what has taken place in the past 18 months. I would say, they make 900 non Elegante every year and some of the less popular watches would sit even as early as Q1 2020. So lets just say out of the 900 watches - pre-2020: 1) 300 of the 900 (like the CB, Havana and others) were sold out and had perhaps a 1 year wait list. Demand was say 600 a year. 2) 500 of the 900 were sold within months, there was just a small lag. So annual demand was say 500 a year (supply = demand). 3) 200 of the 900 sat around for a year. So annual demand was say 100 a year. Post 2020 and today - given what happened with auction results, pretty much every watch collector with the means want one: 1) 300 of the 900 (like CB, havana and others) - were sold out and had 1 year, demand has grown from 600 a year now to 2000 a year (conservative estimate but given how a CB can be flipped for x5, demand for it is probably unlimited) Realistically, how can they allocate this to new customers when there is a 7 year waitlist and its closed? Maybe they allocate 50? You fall in this category, how do you convince them you are that 1% that will keep the watch - it can be done but go by more often. 2) 500 of the 900 were sold within months, there was just a small lag. So annual demand was say 500 a year (supply = demand).Now demand is also 2000 a year. That's a 4 year wait. 3) 200 of the 900 sat around for a year. So annual demand was say 100 a year. Now say the demand is 200 a year - you probably have your best shot at this. I would say instead of being hell bent on 1 dream watch, be practical and realstic and go for category #2 or #3. The supply demand equation will only get worse. If you really don't want to settle, go grey - the market is efficient enough that really the watches are trading at fair value (less 10-15% dealer margin). |
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9 January 2022, 04:35 AM | #670 | |
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Nice summary, thanks! What would you consider to be category 2 and 3? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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9 January 2022, 04:57 AM | #671 | |
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Category 2 would be the Optimum, vertical Torb perhaps boutique black dial with rose case. This category is getting crazy since category 1 is unobtanium. Category 1 would be Resonance, CB, Havana, black labels, limited editions. |
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9 January 2022, 06:54 AM | #672 | |
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I have no disillusion about where this places me. I likely will get nothing…and I’m okay with that. My only point about posting my situation was not to garner sympathy or advice. It was just to highlight that FPJ is like any other brand. They may talk of wanting to get watches to enthusiasts. They may say how Journe himself wanted the CB to be a gateway to the brand and he personally hates what has become of it. But, at the end of the day, they are no better than the practices employed by AP, RM, etc. They shouldn’t be commended for lip service while practicing AP-level tactics.
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9 January 2022, 07:04 AM | #673 | |
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9 January 2022, 07:10 AM | #674 | |
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9 January 2022, 07:21 AM | #675 | |
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9 January 2022, 07:36 AM | #676 | |
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My experience with FPJ is the opposite of yours. You are a single data point as I am. I can personally attest to what Pierre mentioned - FPJ does prioritize those who demonstrate passion and enthusiasm for the brand. That’s the whole point of their continued investment in getting to know collectors through frequent events and parties. I don’t know of any other brand (small or big) that places such resources on getting to know their current and prospective clients. I’m sorry you haven’t gotten your CB, but strongly disagree with discounting FPJ to the level of other OEMs. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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9 January 2022, 07:52 AM | #677 | |
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All I can say is, I have been active in the community. I have written a lengthy letter on my application to show my enthusiasm and interest. Only to be told flat out by the boutique that they prioritize existing customers, flying in the face of what they are saying to everyone else. You may have anecdotal evidence, but I can tell you for 100% certainty that the NYC boutique contradicted what Pierre/the brand was preaching and what Journe himself intended the CB to be.
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9 January 2022, 08:08 AM | #678 | |
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9 January 2022, 08:21 AM | #679 | |
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9 January 2022, 09:17 AM | #680 | |||
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I was smiling when he was talking about European Watch Company. I had visited EWC in their new location (they moved in December) a few weeks ago and was talking with some of the guys there about FPJ. We were joking about how CB's used to sit in their case for weeks at $18K. There's something wrong with a world in which the preowned market values a simple CB at 5x the price of a Lange 1815 (they were about the same price til a few years ago, preowned). Quote:
[I'm hoping it's somewhere near Midtown and not waaaay downtown.] Quote:
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9 January 2022, 09:22 AM | #681 |
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The new MAISON will be at 53 MERCER. SOHO area.
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9 January 2022, 10:45 AM | #682 | |
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Am of two thoughts: 1. Growth is very easy right now, yet beware! The financial hangover could get seriously ugly, so a bit of prudent caution is wise. Grow a company too big too fast in this environment would be a mistake; better to build infrastructure to ensure a company's longevity. 2. Let's be grateful all these tr€££ion$ have fueled the most creative time within horology in a long, long time. We're getting familiar with many more truly talented watchmakers too. Ignoring #1 because we've all been through 2008, and the 1995 Asian crash, and the whole crazy 1980s in ALL its forms.... #2 is very exciting! From 'inexpensive' passion plays to mind-boggling designs I don't believe would have been capable/possible just 20 years ago. While I'd like to be soooo angry at the crazy market, that same craziness seems to be bringing more youth into choosing to be watchmakers, or at a minimum bringing it into their thoughts. Frankly, luxury home audio could use some of this PR push. My FPJ love would be their Centigraphe Calibre 1506 in 18k 6N gold on bracelet. Let us all take a moment to fully appreciate this fantastic chonographe. Am not sure the wait for one, yet 2022 already has a Czapek Monochrome, and 2023 is the MB&F LM101... (plus a few other 'normal' pieces over the months including my wife's Rolex TIF we're waiting on). FPJ is 2024 at the soonest, perhaps 2025. So, how is EWC's new digs? Hey, did you ever buy his book, the pics and info are spectacular!!!
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9 January 2022, 12:00 PM | #683 |
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Does anyone know where a price list is published? THE HOUR GLASS website used to have the prices and now they took them down and now say ENQUIRE.
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9 January 2022, 12:04 PM | #684 |
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9 January 2022, 12:07 PM | #685 |
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9 January 2022, 12:27 PM | #686 |
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I think this entire concept is totally messed up. It is straight up bizarre to have to write an essay fundamentally to get something like this. I understand the market, the production, the interest, the supply and demand conversations that happen here or on car forums but seriously…if you take a step back and ask yourselves what are we really doing here by having to go through such machinations to buy a watch? Or a car etc? It is borderline absurd. No, it is absurd. Some brands requiring a one page book report to determine if you are good enough. Others wanting to know your income or similar profile material. This sort of nonsense ruins the experience for those without the street cred already because you can’t even pay to play and I also think it just gives the whole industry a bad rap. The discussions of 4, 5, 9, n years to buy a fill in the blank watch to be on a waitlist is just crazy. If it is like that, don’t have a list. Don’t tell people to wait. One is not getting it and no one except for the chosen ones will have it for half a decade. Or more. I’ve had these situations come up and readily moved on. They should just say no. Don’t give impressions that will not be managed realistically.
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9 January 2022, 12:32 PM | #687 |
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9 January 2022, 02:58 PM | #688 |
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I find it hilarious that these “enthusiasts” are calling the brand hypocritical just because they are not allocated one of the most popular yet one of the most affordable watch in the collection as a first purchase. The CB’s list price is probably not far off from the cost of making that watch.
And chances are once these “enthusiasts” get it, will they continue supporting the brand in purchasing other pieces? I have my doubts. How is this model sustainable for a business? It doesn’t sounds like those are enthusiasts of the brand; but rather enthusiasts of just a model. |
9 January 2022, 03:11 PM | #689 | |
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Agreed. They are just the most basic models from Journe.
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9 January 2022, 03:49 PM | #690 | |
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You can choose to drink the kool-aid all you want. I'm not here to argue what the best business practice would be. I'm not here to argue if newcomers would turn around and buy other watches. Im stating the very clear fact that this brand does not practice what they preach. While we are on the subject of "enthusiasts". I identified the CB as a watch I would like to have 3.5 years ago (when I was 31). I apologize if I didn't have the money at 31 for a resonance or tourbillon to prove my loyalty. I apologize that I didn't have the funds to outright buy one in my late 20s when they were readily available. I guess that doesn't make me an enthusiast. I also love that existing customers (or people with unlimited funds to buy their way in) who realized they want a CB in 2021 get priority over me. They are true enthusiasts, right? At the end of the day, the brands should tread carefully how they treat potential new customers. By and large, they are alienating younger customers who will become the majority buyers in 15 years.
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