Put one watch away for 20 years...

[Rori]

Originally Posted by timepiecegentleman

If you were going to put a brand new watch away in the safe today for roughly 30 years, solely for the purpose of having a true new vintage piece, which one would you choose?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

SD43. I’m sure that at some point in time, it will lose the red line.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Pw92676]

I wish I had another 116500 black to put away in the safe for this purpose.

[LJubel328]

I've put my hulk aside.

[kieselguhr]

I understand the idea but I would rather wear the watch

[Ferdelious]

My SD4K

[42itus]

Unless you’re wealthy enough to buy one to wear and one to put away this approach towards watches doesn’t work for me.
20 years from now I will be almost 70 and I don’t think it will give me joy to have a pristine safe queen that may have tripled in value. And if you account for inflation probably less. I would rather have those 20 years back of the enjoyment of wearing that watch. But that’s just me.

But to contribute to this thread I would say one should consider something like a SD43 or a Deepsea Deep Blue. Something out of the ordinary.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[ndrs63]

Tudor Black Bay 58, black. If this line will have a long life, then the original will be the most sought after


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[mykii]

Honestly probably the Pepsi since it is in it's pioneer round of modern updating. A NOS has potential 30yrs from now, as does hard to get models that are also relatively "first ofs" (e.g. Hulk, Kermit), and uncommon models that people don't really love but are still aesthetically pleasing (e.g White Milgauss but not the AirKing).

[Swaye]

116508 green dial mint in 20 years would be fun I suppose.

[nachopc]

Submariner Fat Four LV


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

[tech114]

None. None of the models available nowadays are unique and/or classic enough to have some kind of vintage feels after 20 years.

[doubleinfive]

I am now starting to see the effects of the Covid-19 lockdowns...

[challer]

Pt dd

[subprimero]

Milgauss Z blue.

[eanzenberg]

Skydweller blue ss or white gold skydweller black on strap.

[Nairn1980]

Originally Posted by REFZ

None, because I don't see the point of owning a safe queen.

I agree

[lamnyc]

Enjoy it now. Watches might be a thing of the past. Just like typewriters.

[Kube]

I'm suspicious that anyone putting pieces in safes today during this watch frenzy period is late to the game. I doubt 20-40 years from now things will be as they are today, especially given all the pristine safe queens that will be available come 2050 given everyone hiding them away during this current climate thinking they'll be worth 1000000000X more in the future. I could be very wrong, but like I said, I have my suspicions. And if what's on my wrist is worth 1000000000X more in the future, I doubt I'd care that several decades of enjoyment and some wear and tear will make it only be worth 10000000X more

[Bobby T]

Originally Posted by tech114

None. None of the models available nowadays are unique and/or classic enough to have some kind of vintage feels after 20 years.

You probably would have had the same view about putting away, watches such as GMTs, Daytonas, etc.. 20, 30 and 40 years ago. I'm not saying "do it" all I'm saying is to think that none of the current models will become "classics' might be a bit short-sighted.......only time will tell!!!

[Rashid.bk]

Originally Posted by REFZ

None, because I don't see the point of owning a safe queen.

Life is too short. Every day is a gift and should be appreciated and not taken for granted. It would be a waste in my opinion.

[daOnlyBG]

Originally Posted by timepiecegentleman

If you were going to put a brand new watch away in the safe today for roughly 30 years, solely for the purpose of having a true new vintage piece, which one would you choose?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

There are a handful Kermits and 16710 GMTs out there in NOS or mint condition. I would probably put one of those away.

[HHIslander]

Stickered Panda bought from AD at MSRP

[Jake85]

I am thinking of doing the same thing...

-Modern, maybe the Air King
-SD4K
-zenith Daytona full set

Good luck.

[interestedwatcher]

The three color variations of the 6 digit Turnograph.

[illiguy]

Any NOS 5-digit SS Sport.

[Swhme]

SD43 Rolesor or Pepsi

The Rolesor is super sharp, and I think that the SD43 is going to get even hotter in coming years.

And the ceramic Pepsi is a perfectly executed modernization of the classic. I think it’ll age well.

I do wonder, though, if the “classic” value of the ceramic bezels will be reduced because they won’t really patina like the aluminum versions...

[Texex]

Originally Posted by 007_Omega

Let's say I double my money every 7 years in the market. 20 years is about 21 years.

A new James Cameron after tax would cost me about $14,000.

Do I think in 21 years a James Cameron will be worth $112,000? Guys, stop with this Rolex watch investment thing. In the short-term, you can make nice gains and I don't dispute that but in the long-term you're going to get destroyed by just letting that much money sit in a safe.

Now, if you wear the watch then that is a different story.

I'll play devils advocate to this point for fun. As an example, the 16710 from 2007 (only 13 years ago) had an original MSRP of around $4,500. One recently sold at Phillips auction house for $30,000. That's a higher appreciation than your example 17% annually vs 11% annually and MUCH better than you can expect annually from the market.

https://www.phillips.com/detail/rolex/NY080119/2

That being said, this is a unique situation with a rare watch being left untouched for many years. I do think you can make money as there are very few NOS (completely unworn) Rolex that are 20 years old, I've never seen one even online.

If you pick right not only will you not get destroyed but, you will crush the market. But.... who is qualified to pick right? Not me, my coin is in the market, real estate etc., not in a safe. But it's a fun exercise. I vote for the new Air King, reasonable MSRP with room to grow and probably not long for the catalogue.

[Danny83]

Explorer 2 polar

[10klakes]

It’s a fun question to ponder...

116600 SD4k imo-


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Thor95]

Originally Posted by 10klakes

It’s a fun question to ponder...

116600 SD4k imo-


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

This!