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Old 7 February 2020, 08:31 AM   #1
hamachikanashiro
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Rolex prices and coronavirus

Just wondering what people think (speculation of course) on this coronavirus's effect on Rolex grey prices + demand?

Fwiw, I'm seeing a softening of grey 2nd hand prices here in HKG across some models I'm tracking (sub / blnr).

Can't imagine there will be too much HKG demand at the moment with some mainland travel restrictions in place and not many people going out and about HKG.
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Old 7 February 2020, 08:42 AM   #2
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Your contracting economy is going to have more impact than this virus.
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Old 7 February 2020, 08:57 AM   #3
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Good grief, I had to click on that title.
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Old 7 February 2020, 09:05 AM   #4
garbanzo
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I am always surprised to see the significance of the geographically tiny HK to the world luxury items market.
Right now it would be a good time to be a HK buyer; there seems to be distressed sellers right now in that mkt.
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Old 7 February 2020, 09:25 AM   #5
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Rolexes are really cheap in Wuhan right now...

Joking aside, hope all is well in HK. I just heard from a co-worker there and the situation does not sound good.
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Old 7 February 2020, 10:16 AM   #6
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Old 7 February 2020, 03:49 PM   #7
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I think that maybe the only positive impact of that nasty virus is going to be on Rolex SS availability. A good increase of SS models won’t surprise me. Grey prices to go down.


Quote:
Originally Posted by hamachikanashiro View Post
Just wondering what people think (speculation of course) on this coronavirus's effect on Rolex grey prices + demand?

Fwiw, I'm seeing a softening of grey 2nd hand prices here in HKG across some models I'm tracking (sub / blnr).

Can't imagine there will be too much HKG demand at the moment with some mainland travel restrictions in place and not many people going out and about HKG.
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Old 7 February 2020, 04:18 PM   #8
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That will be pent up demand. Despite the communism, China developed the largest middle class anywhere. When the ship rights, and it will, then sales will consume any inventory.
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Old 7 February 2020, 04:54 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hamachikanashiro View Post
Just wondering what people think (speculation of course) on this coronavirus's effect on Rolex grey prices + demand?

Fwiw, I'm seeing a softening of grey 2nd hand prices here in HKG across some models I'm tracking (sub / blnr).

Can't imagine there will be too much HKG demand at the moment with some mainland travel restrictions in place and not many people going out and about HKG.
I would like to say to you and people in China, hoping they figure this out fast. It’s so frightening to read about what is happening over there. All the best to you!
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Old 7 February 2020, 05:00 PM   #10
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Zero effect.

Did you hear a lot of people don't even go out anymore. Everything done on mobile.
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Old 7 February 2020, 05:01 PM   #11
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I kind of see the opposite with ADs wanting to flush hot pieces with big premium asap to compensate for no traffic/sales into stores.
Grey still maintaining premium. A Sub ND is US1.5K above rsp lately...
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Old 7 February 2020, 05:02 PM   #12
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Goodness me.
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Old 7 February 2020, 05:10 PM   #13
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Ambulance chasers.
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Old 7 February 2020, 05:16 PM   #14
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HK may be seeing less foot traffic but the inventory of popular models at the greys can be easily absorbed by other regions.

Same with the Mainland. Add to the fact that it is a relatively easy way to move money abroad, I doubt you will see any impact.

If there is any impact it will be to private sellers as most prefer to do cash deals.
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Old 7 February 2020, 06:09 PM   #15
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I think the BLNR is softening regardless. I’ve seen some fairly good deals recently from trusted sellers for either new or almost new. Most being based in the US.
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Old 7 February 2020, 06:10 PM   #16
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Last edited by Sandpit; 7 February 2020 at 06:11 PM.. Reason: Double post
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Old 7 February 2020, 06:22 PM   #17
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Some posts in this this thread are in extremely bad taste and now closed.

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