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24 June 2021, 06:22 AM | #1 |
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Watch pro say prices are cooling
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24 June 2021, 06:27 AM | #2 |
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One can only hope!
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24 June 2021, 06:30 AM | #3 |
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Thank you Bitcoin
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24 June 2021, 06:54 AM | #4 |
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Sounds good to me, and potentially true for two reasons - firstly, prices can't (and don't) keep going up and up forever no matter what the commodity is, and secondly, as more things open up post-Covid, all that "spare" money that has been being spent on Rolexes by bored rich people and the more errr... "transient" watch fans, will start going on holidays, travel, nights out, cars, etc.
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24 June 2021, 07:11 AM | #5 |
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It does seem like Rolex is in some sort of bubble. I like the exclusivity but glad to see prices may come back down to Earth. When you start seeing 15 year olds wanting to get on AD waitlists because they're so long, then you obviously know you're in a weird Rolex environment that's crazy.
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24 June 2021, 07:15 AM | #6 |
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Been saying this for a few weeks
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24 June 2021, 07:27 AM | #7 |
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absolutely prices are softening. Watches are sitting for a while at greys for those that are paying attention.
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24 June 2021, 07:30 AM | #8 |
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I've been into Rolex for around 12-13 years.
Sold my 5512.. the 5513, 116528, 1016, and 16610LV are all being put out to pasture. I'm going down to just the Hulk and Red Grape. I will say from the watches I follow.. nothing looks softer.
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24 June 2021, 07:34 AM | #9 |
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I have noticed some model's prices have come down from the insane grey prices of a months ago. Unfortunately for the various predictors on TRF, the softening has nothing to do with anything other than economics/market conditions.
The only hope I have is that supply catches up with the market at some point.
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24 June 2021, 07:34 AM | #10 |
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Last week at on of the big house’s auction a Hulk and pointy Kermit that had what I thought were pretty high reserves went no bid.
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24 June 2021, 07:37 AM | #11 |
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Sad for some but YES!!!
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24 June 2021, 07:38 AM | #12 |
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Lol
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24 June 2021, 07:47 AM | #13 | |
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Quote:
I just saw a Hulk go into pending after listing @ 22k on HQMilton. I got a bid of 18.5K on my naked 2004 Kermit.
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Modern: 116610LV / 114300 / AP 15202ST / PP 5065A Vintage: 1016 - Gilt Chapter Ring Underline + Exclamation Point / 16618 - Black / 1803 Orange Stella Dial |
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24 June 2021, 07:55 AM | #14 |
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hulk seems to keep going up - the softening I am seeing is for last gen subs (non hulk), explorer II, milgauss (probably will start going up again later this year), Batgirl, blue and grey OP39, PM YM II it's not every model, but enough to be noticeable - seems like the less hyped models are taking a breather
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24 June 2021, 08:13 AM | #15 | |
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Quote:
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24 June 2021, 08:15 AM | #16 |
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24 June 2021, 08:49 AM | #17 |
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Lately I felt like I noticed a slight softening for the black dial ceramic Daytona (not sure about the white) and also Subs.
Also seems like Exp IIs are languishing, although I'm not convinced anyone actually bought any at the crazy inflated prices since the rumors that they would be discontinued in current form. |
24 June 2021, 09:14 AM | #18 |
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good because there's a watch I want but the current mark up is a bit silly.
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24 June 2021, 09:16 AM | #19 | |
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That said, I think we are fulling ourselves if we think there is any crash coming. Slight corrections maybe but the market of 2016 is not coming back any time soon. |
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24 June 2021, 09:18 AM | #20 |
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24 June 2021, 09:22 AM | #21 | |
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Hulks went through the same silly cycle when they were discontinued but have now fallen back considerably. I think the Explorer 2 has a lot of falling back still to do. |
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24 June 2021, 09:23 AM | #22 |
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Can't wait to visit this thread in a year!!!
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24 June 2021, 09:25 AM | #23 | |
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Yes, the posts read similar to those around March last year. Global pandemic! Prices crashing, Greys dumping stock etc. That lasted about 3 weeks. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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24 June 2021, 09:29 AM | #24 |
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Right on...this thread needs a pic of a hot watch which is about to go soft . It will drop in the next few months, but I don't care.
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24 June 2021, 09:33 AM | #25 |
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Nothing grows to the sky. Still, a softening is not a crash or correction. Let's revisit in a year.
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24 June 2021, 09:41 AM | #26 |
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This thread reads like you're discussing pork belly futures.
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24 June 2021, 10:41 AM | #27 |
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Wouldn’t expect the price of a mass produced item to keep rising forever.
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24 June 2021, 10:55 AM | #28 |
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In 2017 I said no way I’m paying $4-$5k over retail for a new Daytona (gray dealer)… and I bought a Bluesy at 10% discount (authorized dealer). The green sub was in the case for the taking.
Heheheeeeeeeee. How things have changed. |
24 June 2021, 11:00 AM | #29 |
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Don’t think anyone said a full-on crash was coming. In fact, someone said pretty clearly they expected a “softening” rather than a crash. Mass produced goods like steel watches tend to not just balloon in price indefinitely, so that’s a perfectly rational conclusion. The idea that people will begin redirecting some discretionary income towards things like vacations and away from Rolex is an equally rational proposition. And last year’s incorrect predictions reflected a misunderstanding of the pandemic more than a misunderstanding of watch prices — the people who were the most financially impacted by the pandemic were by and large not in the market for Rolex watches to begin with. If a 2008-like recession were to hit — and let’s pray that it doesn’t anytime soon — Rolex prices will indeed crash. That’s just a fact.
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24 June 2021, 11:17 AM | #30 |
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[QUOTE=Giangos;11536869]Yes, the posts read similar to those around March last year. Global pandemic! Prices crashing, Greys dumping stock etc.
That lasted about 3 weeks. |
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