The Rolex Forums   The Rolex Watch

ROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEX


Go Back   Rolex Forums - Rolex Forum > General Topics > Open Discussion Forum

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 2 July 2016, 04:44 PM   #31
ref1655
Banned
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: SF Bay Area
Watch: 1655/MkI
Posts: 1,100
Quote:
Originally Posted by iAmVice View Post
Which watch do you think is the smartest buy right now, whether vintage, an old model, or brand new?
from a purely speculative & minimal investment standpoint, you might consider a 'kickstarter' funded watch manufacturer. these are new watchmakers hoping to establish a name in the boutique watch world. while there is no guarantee in terms of eventual brand recognition/success, you could wind up with a significant timepiece later down the road.

http://www.esquire.com/style/mens-ac...arter-watches/

as far as 'investing' in contemporary (or even vintage) Rolexes & hoping to make an eventual killing, good luck with that...others have tried, most fail.
ref1655 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 05:32 PM   #32
busytimmy
"TRF" Member
 
busytimmy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Sydney, Australia
Watch: ing the detectives
Posts: 3,745
Best investment ? Stop flipping and save, then buy the watch you really want (Grail)


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
busytimmy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 06:58 PM   #33
brookish
"TRF" Member
 
brookish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: Europe
Watch: Rolex Deep Blue
Posts: 316
Quote:
Originally Posted by joe100 View Post
No watch is a good investment, ever
Sorry, I tend to disagree. With the bank rates what they are, it is possible to buy certain watches, enjoy them and over years they could be worth more than you would have if you just left your money in the bank.

My first Rolex was the Kermit, bought it for 4,400 euro. It is now worth 7,000 euro eight years later. If you were to buy a Daytona C now at RRP, you could sell it for more, therefore it is a good 'investment'. Certain Panarai bought it the ninties are now worth more than $200000. The 'Bronzo' Panerai, was less than $8000 and can be sold now for 30k. The Paul Newman Daytona, need I go on?
__________________
__________________

Current collection: Rolex Sea-Dweller, Rolex Deepsea D-blue, Rolex 116613LB, Rolex Explorer II (black), Omega Speedmaster SS, IWC Ingenieur Chrono, Panerai PAM127, Panerai PAM328, Panerai PAM629, Panerai PAM217, Panerai PAM339, Panerai PAM341, Panerai PAM605, Panerai PAM376
brookish is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 07:56 PM   #34
strafer_kid
"TRF" Member
 
strafer_kid's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Real Name: Kenny
Location: northern ireland
Watch: SDs, Subs & GMTs
Posts: 5,136
Quote:
Originally Posted by SemperFi View Post
I really don't get all of these threads asking about watches as investments. Surely there are countless other investment vehicles that offer a better return for your money.
You either like a watch for the marvel of engineering it represents or you don't. If you like it enough you'll buy it and enjoy wearing it.
Just my thoughts and feel free to disagree.
Would agree with this. Aside from a few really high end models like the more rare vintage Subs, SDs, Daytonas etc which require a very significant injection of cash, it's hard to see how much money could be made on many of the others? Given the thousands that Rolex now produce each week, it's hard to see how the modern releases or even those in the last 20 years or so will ever be an investment. Buying them and enjoying them seems the way to go!
strafer_kid is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 07:58 PM   #35
colpol
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Scotland
Posts: 2,895
Quote:
Originally Posted by joe100 View Post
No watch is a good investment, ever
Don't know why you didn't pass this thread by - not what op asking

IMHO - sports watches like SD, subs & gmt's if you keep them for 10 years plus will appreciate. Regular price increases plus popularity should see the value increase. I bought my SD in 2005 for £2400. My brother paid £5500 for same model/ 1 owner in mint condition.

A nice 5512, 5513, 1665, 1680 (especially red) - if you buy in excellent condition & not too high a premium - should hold/ appreciate.
colpol is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 08:18 PM   #36
Gaijin
2024 ROLEX DATEJUST41 Pledge Member
 
Gaijin's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Japan
Watch: ing your back.
Posts: 16,179
Any 5 digit SS sport model Rolex should hold their value. I mean basically they have all been discontinued.


As far as investments most here wouldn't really call an LV or a Pepsi GMT an investment though I think that they will continue to appreciate. If you have one of those NOS/NIB I think you would do well in say 10 years.


I don't have any problem with someone considering including a potentially appreciating Rolex into their investment portfolio if they have done all the traditional things first. Emergency savings, maxing out retirement accounts , bonds , stocks and real estate.
Gaijin is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 08:58 PM   #37
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Stock in Apple, the make a nice watch
__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 10:47 PM   #38
Etschell
"TRF" Member
 
Etschell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: FL
Watch: platinum sub
Posts: 15,884
Like I said it depends on the price. What items of jewelry can you buy that don't go down very much and hold their value.

Here is my story. Bought a bnib 114060 for 5900 usd. So maybe it'll go as low as 5k. I think that's good money spent....
__________________
If you wind it, they will run.

25 or 6 to 4.
Etschell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 10:50 PM   #39
J!m
"TRF" Member
 
J!m's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Real Name: Jim
Location: Connecticut
Watch: this! Hold my beer
Posts: 2,839
Quote:
Originally Posted by joe100 View Post
No watch is a good investment, ever
This pretty much sums it up. And those who try, damage the hobby for the enthusiasts making pieces so far out of reach they end up locked away in safes never to see the light of day. That is the true tragedy of the hobby I see these days.
J!m is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 10:52 PM   #40
brandrea
2024 SubLV41 Pledge Member
 
brandrea's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Real Name: Brian (TBone)
Location: canada
Watch: es make me smile
Posts: 78,129
If we are strictly talking about watches ( which is what I believe the OP meant) then there are certainly better pieces to consider than others.

I'd say a 4 or 5 digit Rolex is a pretty safe bet to appreciate in value over time.
brandrea is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 11:44 PM   #41
bdex75
"TRF" Member
 
bdex75's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Real Name: Brandon
Location: Indianapolis
Watch: my money vanish
Posts: 8,506
LV, 16600SD, Tudor Sub, any pre ceramic Rolex sport model.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
bdex75 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2 July 2016, 11:49 PM   #42
Jcgul
"TRF" Member
 
Jcgul's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: NYC
Posts: 50
I like to tell myself watches are an "investment" too so I feel less guilty dropping a sh*t ton of money on them :)
Jcgul is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 3 July 2016, 01:15 AM   #43
Abdullah71601
Banned
 
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Calumet Harbor
Watch: ing da Bears
Posts: 13,568
Quote:
Originally Posted by brookish View Post
Sorry, I tend to disagree. With the bank rates what they are, it is possible to buy certain watches, enjoy them and over years they could be worth more than you would have if you just left your money in the bank.

My first Rolex was the Kermit, bought it for 4,400 euro. It is now worth 7,000 euro eight years later. If you were to buy a Daytona C now at RRP, you could sell it for more, therefore it is a good 'investment'. Certain Panarai bought it the ninties are now worth more than $200000. The 'Bronzo' Panerai, was less than $8000 and can be sold now for 30k. The Paul Newman Daytona, need I go on?
Bank rates are not a good investment to compare to. The stock market will typically double your money every seven years. And most watches depreciate over time when compared to inflation.

You cite some exceptions, but there are stocks which have done at least that well over a similar period (Amazon has more than tripled in five years, while your Kermit has yet to double, for example).
Abdullah71601 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 3 July 2016, 01:52 AM   #44
Aceldama
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Central Cal
Watch: Dads Omega Cal 601
Posts: 707
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jcgul View Post
I like to tell myself watches are an "investment" too so I feel less guilty dropping a sh*t ton of money on them :)
+1

If it's really an investment, keep the stickers on her and drop her in the safe...
Aceldama is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 3 July 2016, 06:55 PM   #45
brookish
"TRF" Member
 
brookish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: Europe
Watch: Rolex Deep Blue
Posts: 316
Quote:
Originally Posted by Abdullah71601 View Post
Bank rates are not a good investment to compare to. The stock market will typically double your money every seven years. And most watches depreciate over time when compared to inflation.



You cite some exceptions, but there are stocks which have done at least that well over a similar period (Amazon has more than tripled in five years, while your Kermit has yet to double, for example).


True, but you can't enjoy wearing stocks around your wrist....



Verzonden vanaf mijn iPhone met Tapatalk
__________________
__________________

Current collection: Rolex Sea-Dweller, Rolex Deepsea D-blue, Rolex 116613LB, Rolex Explorer II (black), Omega Speedmaster SS, IWC Ingenieur Chrono, Panerai PAM127, Panerai PAM328, Panerai PAM629, Panerai PAM217, Panerai PAM339, Panerai PAM341, Panerai PAM605, Panerai PAM376
brookish is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 July 2016, 03:17 AM   #46
Dr.Brian
2024 SubLV41 Pledge Member
 
Dr.Brian's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: CA dreamin'
Watch: ing the market.
Posts: 5,906
Sell all your watches, buy a modest Rolex Sub or DJ,, and put all the rest of the money into low fee diverse index funds. Wait ~15 years and laugh all the way to the country club.
That's the best watch investment you can make today with a guaranteed return, assuming you can wait out corrections, etc.
__________________
-Brian
AUDENTES FORTUNA IUVAT

十人十色
Dr.Brian is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 July 2016, 07:05 AM   #47
iAmVice
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: Germany
Posts: 75
Thanks for all your input guys! I had written something at length... then tried to send and I was logged out. Sigh. Oh well!

I am going to say that, in my opinion only of course, that the majority of the replies here are more emotional than not. And that is to be expected, I suppose, in a forum with members who’ve a great affinity for watches as watches. Watches, they are something… very tangible … yet at the same time may have some ineffable, ethereal characteristic. ‘Our’ (or your) opinions are outliers relative to what the the general public would hold. Sure, the opnion of people who see investment potential in watches are outliers, too.

I was curious to know your opinions, that’s what I got, so thank you nevertheless.

But don’t you think that, if watches have risen in value more than ten-fold in the past, if there are investment funds that invest in watches, if there are books on watch investment, that there isn’t something to watches as viable investment vehicles? Only fools wrapped up in fads? don’t. I wouldn’t have asked my initial quesiton otherwise. =]

Ok, you could argue that it is all far too speculative, and that in the long run, you’ll make more bad bets than good ones. But do you not think that there is nobody shrewd enough to pick the good stuff?

If you had bought the new Daytona at RRP (ok! Very hypothetical!) you could have made almost double on your purchase. Just last weekend an authorized dealer had told me some blow-hole had bought one at 19,000 EUR. Not a bad return.



Quote:
Originally Posted by ref1655 View Post
from a purely speculative & minimal investment standpoint, you might consider a 'kickstarter' funded watch manufacturer.
Interesting

Quote:
Originally Posted by beshannon View Post
Stock in Apple, the make a nice watch
Yes, probably a better investment.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dr.Brian View Post
Sell all your watches, buy a modest Rolex Sub or DJ,, and put all the rest of the money into low fee diverse index funds. Wait ~15 years and laugh all the way to the country club.
That's the best watch investment you can make today with a guaranteed return, assuming you can wait out corrections, etc.
This I shall do! Thank you for the wonderful actionable advice =]
iAmVice is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 7 July 2016, 10:22 PM   #48
iAmVice
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: Germany
Posts: 75
I mean,

If you can get a 5513 or 116610 at the same price, what do you get?
iAmVice is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 7 July 2016, 10:36 PM   #49
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Quote:
Originally Posted by iAmVice View Post
I mean,

If you can get a 5513 or 116610 at the same price, what do you get?
I get the one that I would like to wear and own.

It is a watch not an investment.
__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 8 July 2016, 01:39 AM   #50
Rolex addict
Banned
 
Join Date: Oct 2014
Real Name: The Enabler
Location: South Cackalacky
Watch: me crash my bike
Posts: 5,564
Quote:
Originally Posted by Etschell View Post
Depends on the purchase price
I will gladly buy a new DaytonaC from someone for $4000. I promise I won't flip it for a profit.
Rolex addict is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 8 July 2016, 01:45 AM   #51
Etschell
"TRF" Member
 
Etschell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: FL
Watch: platinum sub
Posts: 15,884
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rolex addict View Post
I will gladly buy a new DaytonaC from someone for $4000. I promise I won't flip it for a profit.
exactly the point. value is in the eye of the beholder even if you arent selling it.

"In an economic sense, an investment is the purchase of goods that are not consumed today but are used in the future to create wealth."

I am pretty sure most of us dont eat our rolex. And I am nearly certain that if you had to flip your rolex to create future wealth you could do it. Plus just wearing a rolex allows you to have things in common with people who have, generally, greater earning ability and access to resources than the average person.
__________________
If you wind it, they will run.

25 or 6 to 4.
Etschell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 8 July 2016, 02:28 AM   #52
GradyPhilpott
2024 SubLV41 Pledge Member
 
GradyPhilpott's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: New Mexico
Watch: Seiko #SRK047
Posts: 34,460
The best watch investment is one you will wear.
__________________
JJ

Inaugural TRF $50 Watch Challenge Winner
GradyPhilpott is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 8 July 2016, 02:47 AM   #53
NewEnthusiast
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2016
Real Name: James
Location: Great Britain
Watch: Air King/Seamaster
Posts: 565
Quote:
Originally Posted by joe100 View Post
No watch is a good investment, ever
I disagree. Giving someone you love a watch they will love is a good investment. It will be worth more to them than any material price and will bring the two of you closer.
NewEnthusiast is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 8 July 2016, 11:58 PM   #54
iAmVice
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: Germany
Posts: 75
Quote:
Originally Posted by beshannon View Post
I get the one that I would like to wear and own.

It is a watch not an investment.
Highly subjective.
iAmVice is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 9 July 2016, 12:00 AM   #55
iAmVice
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: Germany
Posts: 75
Quote:
Originally Posted by Etschell View Post
exactly the point. value is in the eye of the beholder even if you arent selling it.

"In an economic sense, an investment is the purchase of goods that are not consumed today but are used in the future to create wealth."

I am pretty sure most of us dont eat our rolex. And I am nearly certain that if you had to flip your rolex to create future wealth you could do it. Plus just wearing a rolex allows you to have things in common with people who have, generally, greater earning ability and access to resources than the average person.
Apple Inc. may be named after a fruit, but seeing somebody eat their stocks is likely rare. (unless you're invested in beer and what not, in which case you'd be drinking it)
iAmVice is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 9 July 2016, 12:22 AM   #56
woodsworth
"TRF" Member
 
woodsworth's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: 100 Acre Wood
Posts: 959
Probably the American Aviator watch... If Rick from Pawn Stars endorses it, you know it is gonna be worth big money one day!
woodsworth is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 9 July 2016, 04:42 AM   #57
westinghouse
Banned
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: New York
Posts: 73
An old Submariner since depreciation is no longer a major concern.
westinghouse is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 9 July 2016, 05:32 AM   #58
springer
2024 SubLV41 Pledge Member
 
springer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Real Name: jP
Location: Texas
Watch: GMT-MASTER
Posts: 17,319
Quote:
Originally Posted by joe100 View Post
No watch is a good investment, ever
I would respectfully disagree and say.....wrong. It all depends on what price range you are in and whether you prefer vintage or modern. Also, how long are you planning on holding the watch? That is an important factor also.

Vintage Rolex have appreciated substantially the past decade. even some of the later models are doing well and appreciating some - most notably the Submariner anniversary 16610LV sets.

Buy well but buy wise.
__________________
Member of NAWCC since 1990.

INSTAGRAM USER NAME: SPRINGERJFP
Visit my Instagram page to view some of the finest vintage GMTs anywhere - as well as other vintage classics.
springer is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 9 July 2016, 05:47 AM   #59
travisb
2024 SubLV41 Pledge Member
 
travisb's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Real Name: Travis
Location: FL / NYC
Watch: Yes..
Posts: 33,493
Enamel dial 5131 at retail. Double your money.
travisb is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Wrist Aficionado

My Watch LLC

WatchesOff5th

DavidSW Watches

Takuya Watches

OCWatches


*Banners Of The Month*
This space is provided to horological resources.





Copyright ©2004-2024, The Rolex Forums. All Rights Reserved.

ROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEX

Rolex is a registered trademark of ROLEX USA. The Rolex Forums is not affiliated with ROLEX USA in any way.